Strategy

specialized political analytics

February 23, 2015

Politics: Ukraine

The best option for Ukraine and the former President Viktor Yanukovich is his voluntary return to Ukraine to face the justice, stated today Yuriy Lutsenko, Head of the largest Ukrainian parliamentary faction ‘’Peter Poroshenko’s Bloc”. “It would be the simplest solution for all of us, however this will not happen. We all know pretty well, that Yanukovych is not only cruel, greedy and vindictive dictator, but coward as well”, – the head of the party said.

By the forthcoming spring Ukraine has to experience the first results of the ongoing reforms, said today the Ukrainian parlamentarian Alexander Chernenko in Lviv.

“Obviously, there are high expectations and urge to do the reforms just quickly. Parliament does not meet some terms by now, we have delayed the start of reforms. But there is significant progress in judicial and police reform, the result on the anti-corruption bureau. I think that a realistic estimate of the results will be possible in spring” – said the MP.

Ukraine has a considerable amount of work in the legislative design of its European integration. “Parliament within three years has to approve more than 300 bills to implement the Association Agreement with the European Union”, – said today Ostap Semerak, head of the Ukrainian Parliamentary Committee on Association.

 

The situation in Donbass

“There’s no total ceasefire in the Donbass region at present” – said today Anatoly Stelmach, the spokesman of the Ukrainian military counterterrorism center at a briefing. The official said that Ukrainian weapons will be withdrawn from the confrontation line in the East of the country only after the ceasefire from the side of separatists.

 

Politics: Ukraine and World

The March of Dignity took place in Kyiv on the anniversary of the revolutionary events. A number of Heads of State and Government to participate in the event and subsequent consultations with the President of Ukraine Petro Poroshenko. Among them, the European Council President Donald Tusk, President of Germany Joachim Gauck, President of Poland Bronislaw Komorowski, President of Lithuania Dalia Grybauskaite, President of Slovakia Andrej Kiska, President of Georgia Georgi Margvelashvili, President of Moldova Nicolae Timofti. The leaders of foreign countries present on the event unanimously expressed their support for Ukraine in its efforts to resolve the armed conflict in Donbass. At the same time, Ukraine’s request to provide lethal weapons currently remains ignored. In these circumstances, Ukraine is actively seeking new ways to modernize its armed forces and replacing military equipment destroyed in the eastern conflict. Against the background of the refusal of a number of countries (Czech Republic, Germany, Britain) and hesitation of others (USA) concerning the supply of arms, President Poroshenko today went to the exhibition of arms IDEX 2015 extending to the United Arab Emirates. Adviser to the Minister of Internal Affairs and PM Anton Gerashchenko accompanying this visit of the President, in his facebook reports that Ukraine can provide itself with arms and military technology by about 35-40%, and the rest has to import. “I hope there will be an opportunity to find a daring suppliers of weapons and special equipment for the Ukrainian army” – the official said. At the same time, the first vice-speaker A.Paruby in his interview to BBC states it is now the matter of vital importance to convince primarily the US authorities of the need to supply Ukraine with lethal weapons.

Nevertheless, Ukraine is hoping first of all for a peaceful solution to the conflict through the mediation of international peacekeepers. The best option would be the EU police mission under the auspices of the UN, said president Poroshenko on 18 February. The same day, National Security and Defense Council of Ukraine approved the relevant appeal to the UN and the EU. Today this position was confirmed by Ukrainian Foreign Minister P.Klimkin in New York at a session of the UN Security Council. Meanwhile, some bureaucratic difficulties in this case may arise prolonging the path to the appropriate Security Council resolution. German Foreign Minister Frank-Walter Steinmeier, warned today in his interview to Bild that it may be not easy to send peacekeepers to Ukraine quickly. At the same time, the German politician previously promised to consider the possibility of the peacekeeping mission in Donbass.

 

Economics

Official exchange rate of hryvnia to the US dollar, set by the National Bank of Ukraine, was today 28,35 UAH/USD. On the interbank market, the exchange rate decreased to 32 UAH/USD from 29,25 UAH/USD yesterday, February 22, thus updating the historic maximum. Market volume today increased to $ 221mln since yesterday’s value of $ 169mln.

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